Risk

Topic areas

Safe and Secure Systems

The Digital Dollar Project’s Risk Working Group was established to begin evaluating these risks, opportunities, and proposed mitigants. This year the working group released the first in a series of risk- and privacy- focused working papers, “Secure Adoption of a Digital Dollar – Operational and Compliance Risks for the U.S. Banking Sector,” a working group paper offering a unified risk framework outlining possible impacts on the private sector, specific to federal and state-chartered banks, in consideration of a potential U.S. central bank digital currency (CBDC).

The report highlights the need for the U.S. to strike a balance between the benefits of a digital dollar and the risks it might entail. Effective mitigation of these risks requires proactive engagement by the private sector and informed policy choices by the U.S. government. The policy recommendations and findings of the paper are non-exhaustive and represent initial effort toward understanding the potential operational impacts of a U.S. digital dollar.

The working paper discusses the risk framework and accompanying policy considerations under the following twelve risk-related themes:

Token Provenance

Unclear traceability obligations for financial institutions and potential obfuscation of token provenance through mixers and tumblers

Onboarding Bad Actors

Potential inter-organizational reliance on the customer onboarding and verification processes of other financial institutions

Counterfeit and Double Spend

Potential for counterfeiting existing tokens or creating fake tokens with new identifiers

Recordkeeping and Reporting

Potential difficulty complying with federal recordkeeping rules due to the introduction of token-based systems and a multitude of custodial arrangements

Convertibility

Currency and settlement risk related to the convertibility of digital dollars against foreign CBDCs, privately issued stablecoins, and traditional deposits

Erroneous and Misdirected Transactions

Potential inability to recover erroneous transactions and an unclear relationship between existing regulations such as Reg E and card chargebacks to CBDCs

Digital Financial Literacy

Lack of adoption driven by a lack of customer familiarity with the nature of digital assets, such as settlement finality and private key management

Custodial Key Management

Risk of the mismanagement of private keys in both custodial, by banks, and self-custodial, by customers, arrangements

Wallet Takeovers

Risk of unauthorized and fraudulent access of customer wallets by bad actors resulting in a loss of funds

Secure Infrastructure

Risk of network reliability issues or technical compromises, such as encryption errors, malware, DDoS attacks, and hardware breaches

Offline Transactions

Risk of offline payments avoiding anti-money laundering and counter-terrorist financing measures

Third-Party Management

An increased reliance on third-party services, infrastructure, and applications with a possible lack of direct monitoring or accountability

Risk Working Group /// June 27, 2023

Secure Adoption of a Digital Dollar: Operational and Compliance Risks for the U.S. Banking Sector

An initial exploration of the potential risks, mitigants, and opportunities associated with retail and wholesale CBDCs, detailing six risk themes across various operational and policy areas, offering a foundation for understanding the operational impacts and guiding policy considerations for a potential digital dollar.